Market intelligence
AI Consensus Index
Market-wide consensus reads a bullish bias with 11 out of 28 assets favoring gains.
Updated July 18, 2026
Why It Matters
Consensus is useful because it turns scattered model output into one directional snapshot traders can understand in seconds.
Strategic Takeaway
Use this consensus read as context to inform trades, not a blind signal.
Current Read
Bullish consensus strengthens as 11 assets favor gains, with 14 neutral assets holding back conviction.
Key Data Points
11 assets bullish, 14 neutralAverage confidence 67.6%Supportive regime persists
Live Consensus Trend
Consensus Score
65.3/100
Prior Score
59.1/100
Score Delta
+6.2
Trend State
strengthening
Dominant Alignment
Dominant Side
neutral
Baseline
2026-07-11
Confidence Shift
-0.8
Current Breadth
11/3/14
Prior Breadth
Bullish
9
Bearish
6
Neutral
14
Leading Signal
USD/JPY is carrying 85% bullish conviction
Asset-Class Alignment
commodity
Net +2 now, was -1
+3
stronger
etf
Net +2 now, was -1
+3
stronger
crypto
Net +1 now, was 0
+1
steady
forex
Net +1 now, was +1
0
steady
stock
Net +2 now, was +4
-2
weaker
Conviction Leaders
USD/JPY is carrying 85% bullish conviction
CL=F is carrying 80% bullish conviction
Consensus Watchlist
Watch USD/JPY to see if leadership can pull the broader stack with it
Watch DOGE for signs that downside pressure is broadening
Consensus is strengthening, so confirmation across more asset classes matters
14 neutral assets are still suppressing broad conviction
Average confidence is 0.8 points softer week over week
Live Signal Snapshot
Breadth
11 bullish / 3 bearish / 14 neutral
Avg Confidence
67.6%
Regime
supportive
Strongest Long
USD/JPY
Highest-Conviction Longs
USD/JPY
Dollar / Yen · forex
85%
140.834
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI · commodity
80%
73.2478
MSFT
Microsoft · stock
78%
358.8031
Highest-Conviction Shorts
DOGE
Dogecoin · crypto
68%
0.0726
XRP
Ripple · crypto
60%
1.0883
BNB
Binance Coin · crypto
60%
566.45
Asset-Class Balance
crypto
4 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral
stock
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
forex
1 bullish / 0 bearish / 3 neutral
commodity
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral
Methodology
- 1Aggregate directional output across multiple model-driven market summaries.
- 2Normalize conviction so one unusually verbose model does not dominate the signal.
- 3Classify the result into aligned bullish, aligned bearish, or mixed-risk conditions.
- 4Use it as a context layer, not as an automatic trade trigger.