Air Radar/Insights/Signal Accuracy Report
Market intelligence

Signal Accuracy Report

Air Radar tracks 5,198 signals with 66.9% directional accuracy. Quality scores vary by asset class, ensuring transparent performance evaluation.

Updated September 1, 2026

Why It Matters

Clear accuracy framing improves trust and answers the question traders always ask first: does this actually work under real market conditions?

Strategic Takeaway

Explicit methodology separates partial wins, clean wins, and failures, preventing misleading marketing claims. Tracks by asset class and regime for precision.

Current Read

Current snapshot shows 31 assets: 6 bullish, 8 bearish, 17 neutral. Crypto leads with 6 neutral signals; stocks and ETFs show mixed bias.

Key Data Points

5,198 total signals tracked66.9% directional hit rateQuality score: 45.3 overall

Resolved Performance

Quality Score
45.3/100
Hit Rate
66.9%
Resolved Sample
121 / 5198
Pending 7-Day Review
4877

By Asset Type

commodities
10 resolved signals
62.1/100 quality
70% hit rate
64% avg confidence
forex
19 resolved signals
52.6/100 quality
52.6% hit rate
66.6% avg confidence
stocks
50 resolved signals
44/100 quality
88% hit rate
54% avg confidence
crypto
42 resolved signals
39.6/100 quality
47.6% hit rate
59% avg confidence

Recent Resolved Signals

GOOGL (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 50% confidence
50/100
142 to 142
BTC (neutral)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 45% confidence
0/100
67,958.84 to 65,773.24
AUD/USD (bullish)
2026-02-21 · forex · 70% confidence
0/100
98.0539 to 97.0325
IWM (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
XLF (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
SPY (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
QQQ (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
AVAX (bullish)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 65% confidence
0/100
99.7994 to 99.7179

Read This Correctly

This report is a rolling quality-control view of completed seven-day reviews. It is not a promise of future performance, and it should be read alongside current market regime and setup quality.

Live Signal Snapshot

Breadth
6 bullish / 8 bearish / 17 neutral
Avg Confidence
63.2%
Regime
mixed
Strongest Long
BTC

Highest-Conviction Longs

BTC
Bitcoin · crypto
68%
78412.36
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co · stock
67%
355.1504
ETH
Ethereum · crypto
62%
2462.98

Highest-Conviction Shorts

SI=F
Silver Futures · commodity
78%
92.1019
NFLX
Netflix Inc · stock
77%
77.1198
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF · etf
76%
274.9827

Asset-Class Balance

crypto
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
stock
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 6 neutral
forex
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
commodity
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
0 bullish / 1 bearish / 3 neutral

Methodology

  1. 1Define signal direction, time horizon, and invalidation level before outcome review.
  2. 2Separate partial wins, clean wins, failed setups, and invalidated conditions.
  3. 3Track by asset class and market regime rather than relying on one blended percentage.
  4. 4Publish methodology clearly so the metric cannot be mistaken for a marketing-only number.

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