Market intelligence
Signal Accuracy Report
Air Radar's signal accuracy report provides a transparent framework for measuring directional accuracy and signal quality.
Updated June 2, 2026
Why It Matters
Clear accuracy framing improves trust and answers the question traders always ask first: does this actually work under real market conditions?
Strategic Takeaway
This framework helps traders evaluate and control signal quality, giving them an edge in the market.
Current Read
We're tracking 29 assets with 8 bullish, 9 bearish, and 12 neutral signals, and an average confidence of 70.1.
Key Data Points
Total assets: 29Average confidence: 70.1Regime: mixed
Resolved Performance
Quality Score
45.3/100
Hit Rate
66.9%
Resolved Sample
121 / 2722
Pending 7-Day Review
2400
By Asset Type
commodities
10 resolved signals
62.1/100 quality
70% hit rate
64% avg confidence
forex
19 resolved signals
52.6/100 quality
52.6% hit rate
66.6% avg confidence
stocks
50 resolved signals
44/100 quality
88% hit rate
54% avg confidence
crypto
42 resolved signals
39.6/100 quality
47.6% hit rate
59% avg confidence
Recent Resolved Signals
GOOGL (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 50% confidence
50/100
142 to 142
BTC (neutral)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 45% confidence
0/100
67,958.84 to 65,773.24
AUD/USD (bullish)
2026-02-21 · forex · 70% confidence
0/100
98.0539 to 97.0325
IWM (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
XLF (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
SPY (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
QQQ (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
AVAX (bullish)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 65% confidence
0/100
99.7994 to 99.7179
Read This Correctly
This report is a rolling quality-control view of completed seven-day reviews. It is not a promise of future performance, and it should be read alongside current market regime and setup quality.
Live Signal Snapshot
Breadth
8 bullish / 9 bearish / 12 neutral
Avg Confidence
70.1%
Regime
mixed
Strongest Long
NVDA
Highest-Conviction Longs
NVDA
NVIDIA · stock
85%
224.36
MSFT
Microsoft · stock
85%
460.52
USD/JPY
Dollar / Yen · forex
85%
147.3289
Highest-Conviction Shorts
AVAX
Avalanche · crypto
87%
8.899
BTC
Bitcoin · crypto
75%
71299.99
ETH
Ethereum · crypto
75%
2002.21
Asset-Class Balance
crypto
0 bullish / 7 bearish / 2 neutral
stock
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 6 neutral
forex
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 0 neutral
commodity
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
1 bullish / 0 bearish / 3 neutral
Methodology
- 1Define signal direction, time horizon, and invalidation level before outcome review.
- 2Separate partial wins, clean wins, failed setups, and invalidated conditions.
- 3Track by asset class and market regime rather than relying on one blended percentage.
- 4Publish methodology clearly so the metric cannot be mistaken for a marketing-only number.