Air Radar/Insights/Signal Accuracy Report
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Signal Accuracy Report

Air Radar's directional accuracy report provides a transparent framework for measuring signal quality over time.

Updated April 18, 2026

Why It Matters

Clear accuracy framing improves trust and answers the question traders always ask first: does this actually work under real market conditions?

Strategic Takeaway

Explicit methodology and asset-class tracking give traders a clear edge in signal evaluation.

Current Read

28 assets tracked, 17 bullish, 4 bearish, with an average confidence of 70.8.

Key Data Points

Total assets: 28Bullish signals: 17Average confidence: 70.8

Resolved Performance

Quality Score
45.3/100
Hit Rate
66.9%
Resolved Sample
121 / 1436
Pending 7-Day Review
1115

By Asset Type

commodities
10 resolved signals
62.1/100 quality
70% hit rate
64% avg confidence
forex
19 resolved signals
52.6/100 quality
52.6% hit rate
66.6% avg confidence
stocks
50 resolved signals
44/100 quality
88% hit rate
54% avg confidence
crypto
42 resolved signals
39.6/100 quality
47.6% hit rate
59% avg confidence

Recent Resolved Signals

GOOGL (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 50% confidence
50/100
142 to 142
BTC (neutral)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 45% confidence
0/100
67,958.84 to 65,773.24
AUD/USD (bullish)
2026-02-21 · forex · 70% confidence
0/100
98.0539 to 97.0325
IWM (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
XLF (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
SPY (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
QQQ (neutral)
2026-02-21 · stocks · 55% confidence
50/100
100 to 100
AVAX (bullish)
2026-02-21 · crypto · 65% confidence
0/100
99.7994 to 99.7179

Read This Correctly

This report is a rolling quality-control view of completed seven-day reviews. It is not a promise of future performance, and it should be read alongside current market regime and setup quality.

Live Signal Snapshot

Breadth
17 bullish / 4 bearish / 7 neutral
Avg Confidence
70.8%
Regime
supportive
Strongest Long
AMD

Highest-Conviction Longs

AMD
AMD · stock
88%
278.39
SPY
SPY · etf
82%
731.3557
AUD/USD
Australian Dollar / US Dollar · forex
76%
105.0224

Highest-Conviction Shorts

NFLX
NFLX · stock
88%
97.31
IWM
IWM · etf
72%
254.4791
EUR/USD
Euro / Dollar · forex
65%
1.0726

Asset-Class Balance

crypto
7 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
stock
5 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral
forex
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
commodity
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral

Methodology

  1. 1Define signal direction, time horizon, and invalidation level before outcome review.
  2. 2Separate partial wins, clean wins, failed setups, and invalidated conditions.
  3. 3Track by asset class and market regime rather than relying on one blended percentage.
  4. 4Publish methodology clearly so the metric cannot be mistaken for a marketing-only number.

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