Market intelligence
Sector Rotation Monitor
Sector Rotation Monitor: Capital-flow view of growth, defensives, cyclicals, crypto beta, and safe-haven assets.
Updated July 18, 2026
Why It Matters
Rotation context helps traders avoid reading a strong index as a strong market when the internals are actually weakening.
Strategic Takeaway
Track leadership shifts between asset groups for quality filter on breakouts and breakdowns.
Current Read
Bullish assets lead 11-3, regime supportive with 67.6% confidence.
Key Data Points
Bullish assets: 11, bearish: 3, neutral: 14.Leading asset class: commodity, lagging: stock.Commodity improved by +3 net signal points, stock slipped by -2.
Live Rotation Read
Rotation State
broadening
Leadership Bias
28.6%
Leading Group
commodity
Baseline
2026-07-11
Asset-Class Rotation
commodity
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
Net +2 now
Was -1
+3 improving
etf
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral
Net +2 now
Was -1
+3 improving
crypto
4 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral
Net +1 now
Was 0
+1 stable
forex
1 bullish / 0 bearish / 3 neutral
Net +1 now
Was +1
0 stable
stock
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
Net +2 now
Was +4
-2 weakening
Key Rotation Watches
Watch Commodity for confirmation against the 2026-07-11 baseline
Watch Stock for further weakening if leadership narrows
Leadership is broadening, so stronger follow-through matters more than isolated spikes
Offensive Rotation
Commodity improved by +3 net signal points
Etf improved by +3 net signal points
USD/JPY is leading the upside rotation at 85% conviction
Defensive Rotation
Stock slipped by -2 net signal points
DOGE is carrying downside pressure at 68% conviction
Live Signal Snapshot
Breadth
11 bullish / 3 bearish / 14 neutral
Avg Confidence
67.6%
Regime
supportive
Strongest Long
USD/JPY
Highest-Conviction Longs
USD/JPY
Dollar / Yen · forex
85%
140.834
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI · commodity
80%
73.2478
MSFT
Microsoft · stock
78%
358.8031
Highest-Conviction Shorts
DOGE
Dogecoin · crypto
68%
0.0726
XRP
Ripple · crypto
60%
1.0883
BNB
Binance Coin · crypto
60%
566.45
Asset-Class Balance
crypto
4 bullish / 3 bearish / 2 neutral
stock
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
forex
1 bullish / 0 bearish / 3 neutral
commodity
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral
Methodology
- 1Track leadership groups rather than the headline index only.
- 2Watch whether capital is rotating into beta, defensives, or cash proxies.
- 3Use breadth and leadership confirmation as a quality filter on breakout moves.
- 4Translate the result into plain-English regime language instead of only charts.