Market intelligence
Sector Rotation Monitor
Air Radar’s Sector Rotation Monitor flags a mixed regime with crypto leading bullish momentum while stocks lag. Defensive tilt persists, but crypto’s upside rotation is gaining traction.
Updated September 1, 2026
Why It Matters
Rotation context helps traders avoid reading a strong index as a strong market when the internals are actually weakening.
Strategic Takeaway
By tracking leadership per class, traders spot quality shifts—crypto’s 68% conviction offers a clear breakout filter, while stock weakness signals potential downside play.
Current Read
Today, 31 assets show 6 bullish, 8 bearish, 17 neutral. Crypto dominates with 3/0/3 improving, while stocks weaken 3/0/3. Defensive bias (-6.5) signals cautious stance.
Key Data Points
Crypto up 3 pts, BTC 68% conviction, leading upsideStocks down 3 pts, SI=F 78% conviction, carrying downsideDefensive bias -6.5, mixed regime, 63% avg confidence
Live Rotation Read
Rotation State
defensive
Leadership Bias
-6.5%
Leading Group
crypto
Baseline
2026-08-25
Asset-Class Rotation
crypto
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
Net +3 now
Was 0
+3 improving
commodity
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
Net 0 now
Was 0
0 stable
forex
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
Net -1 now
Was 0
-1 stable
etf
0 bullish / 1 bearish / 3 neutral
Net -1 now
Was 0
-1 stable
stock
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 6 neutral
Net -3 now
Was 0
-3 weakening
Key Rotation Watches
Watch Crypto for confirmation against the 2026-08-25 baseline
Watch Stock for further weakening if leadership narrows
Defensive rotation is building, so protect against failed breakouts
Offensive Rotation
Crypto improved by +3 net signal points
BTC is leading the upside rotation at 68% conviction
Defensive Rotation
Stock slipped by -3 net signal points
SI=F is carrying downside pressure at 78% conviction
Live Signal Snapshot
Breadth
6 bullish / 8 bearish / 17 neutral
Avg Confidence
63.2%
Regime
mixed
Strongest Long
BTC
Highest-Conviction Longs
BTC
Bitcoin · crypto
68%
78412.36
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co · stock
67%
355.1504
ETH
Ethereum · crypto
62%
2462.98
Highest-Conviction Shorts
SI=F
Silver Futures · commodity
78%
92.1019
NFLX
Netflix Inc · stock
77%
77.1198
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF · etf
76%
274.9827
Asset-Class Balance
crypto
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 6 neutral
stock
1 bullish / 4 bearish / 6 neutral
forex
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
commodity
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
etf
0 bullish / 1 bearish / 3 neutral
Methodology
- 1Track leadership groups rather than the headline index only.
- 2Watch whether capital is rotating into beta, defensives, or cash proxies.
- 3Use breadth and leadership confirmation as a quality filter on breakout moves.
- 4Translate the result into plain-English regime language instead of only charts.