Market intelligence
Sector Rotation Monitor
Sector Rotation Monitor tracks capital flow across asset classes. Regime is currently mixed, with stocks leading and commodities lagging.
Updated March 5, 2026
Why It Matters
Rotation context helps traders avoid reading a strong index as a strong market when the internals are actually weakening.
Strategic Takeaway
Use rotation to validate breakouts/breakdowns and refine risk. Focus on leadership shifts, not just headline index levels.
Current Read
Stocks show bullish breadth, while commodities weaken. Crypto remains mixed, with NVDA driving upside and GBP/USD downside.
Key Data Points
Stocks leading rotationCrypto: mixed signalsCommodities lagging badly
Live Rotation Read
Rotation State
mixed
Leadership Bias
9.5%
Leading Group
stock
Baseline
2026-02-26
Asset-Class Rotation
stock
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 4 neutral
Net +2 now
Was +1
+1 stable
crypto
3 bullish / 2 bearish / 4 neutral
Net +1 now
Was +1
0 stable
forex
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
Net +1 now
Was +1
0 stable
etf
0 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 neutral
Net 0 now
Was 0
0 stable
commodity
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 neutral
Net -2 now
Was -1
-1 stable
Key Rotation Watches
Watch Stock for confirmation against the 2026-02-26 baseline
Watch Commodity for further weakening if leadership narrows
Rotation is mixed, so wait for clearer confirmation before pressing risk
Offensive Rotation
NVDA is leading the upside rotation at 78% conviction
Defensive Rotation
GBP/USD is carrying downside pressure at 72% conviction
Live Signal Snapshot
Breadth
7 bullish / 5 bearish / 9 neutral
Avg Confidence
63.2%
Regime
mixed
Strongest Long
NVDA
Highest-Conviction Longs
NVDA
NVIDIA · stock
78%
521.9585
AAPL
Apple Inc. · stock
75%
187.9183
USD/JPY
Dollar / Yen · forex
75%
152.4669
Highest-Conviction Shorts
GBP/USD
Pound / Dollar · forex
72%
1.1877
CL=F
Crude Oil WTI · commodity
72%
74.6459
SOL
Solana · crypto
65%
90.01
Asset-Class Balance
crypto
3 bullish / 2 bearish / 4 neutral
stock
2 bullish / 0 bearish / 4 neutral
forex
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral
commodity
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 0 neutral
etf
0 bullish / 0 bearish / 0 neutral
Methodology
- 1Track leadership groups rather than the headline index only.
- 2Watch whether capital is rotating into beta, defensives, or cash proxies.
- 3Use breadth and leadership confirmation as a quality filter on breakout moves.
- 4Translate the result into plain-English regime language instead of only charts.