Direct answer
SPY may rise if earnings expectations improve or liquidity conditions ease.
Most likely bullish catalysts
Strong earnings reports
Improving strong earnings reports can support a stronger bid in S&P 500 ETF.
Improved liquidity conditions
Improving improved liquidity conditions can support a stronger bid in S&P 500 ETF.
Rising macro confidence
Improving rising macro confidence can support a stronger bid in S&P 500 ETF.
What confirms the rally
- Confirm the move is supported by market breadth rather than a thin short squeeze.
- Check whether leadership across related etf markets is also improving.
- Only trust continuation if the chart holds gains after the first impulsive push.